When an archer is aiming to hit the bullseye (or a sniper, her target), she has to consider external factors like gravity, wind direction and wind speed. Similarly, when running your business, you will have to ask various questions.
Have you aligned yourself against all external factors, when it comes to meeting your target?
Should
you
raise the price, or increase the production to make more money in the current market trend?
By how much percentage?
Is it
the
right time to run a
marketing campaign?
Would it not
be easier if you knew
what
the
outcome can be when you undertake
such a change?
What-if Analysis
helps
you evaluate
such
options.
It
shows you how
external
changes
might
affect the outcome of a
decision you are about to take.
What can be done?
What-if Analysis shows what might happen if one or more factors change.
It
lets you know
the impact of various factors
on
your business and gives
you
an idea of what needs to be done.
Here are a few scenarios where What-if Analysis can help you.
-
You are planning for a sales day. Based on your previous sales, you can measure the impact of discount percent on your revenue and learn what percent of discount makes people buy more.
And you can set your discount percentage to an optimal value so that it leads to
maximum
profit for you.
-
You have spent
various amount on marketing
over the months, which affects the leads
gained
in each month.
With What-If analysis,
you can learn what will happen if you increase or decrease the expenses.
-
You have
multiple teams working
on
different
projects.
There will be
different billing prices
and hours
per week, each team member might be working for. You can check the time and money needed for each
member -
project combination and choose the best
combination
out of it to assign projects.
-
You have projected sales for the next six months.
There is a possibility
of
your revenue
increasing or decreasing and you can know with What-if analysis how much your revenue would be,
based on percentage increase/decrease.
Now,
let's see how to implement the first example of
measuring
the impact of discount percentages
on your revenue.
How to do
What-if Analysis
You can easily set up a What-if report by following the steps here.
Step 1:
Creating Variables
As we said earlier, What-if Analysis is to show the outcome when one or more parameter value changes. To parameterize dynamic inputs, you need to store all the possible values in a placeholder named
Variable.
Here, we have created two variables to apply the change in discount percentage and sales volume.
Discount Percentage
Create a variable with a range of discount percentages you are planning to provide. We have set the
Range
between
5
to
50
with an
Increment Size
of
5. And the Default Value is set as
10.
If you
plan to
have different discounts
for each product category, you need to create
different variable for each category.
Sales Volume
Create a variable with a range of possible sales volume change. We have set the
Range
between -50 to +50 with an
Increment Size
of
5. And the
Default Value
is set as
0.
Step 2:
Creating Aggregate Formulas
Construct an
Aggregate Formula to compute your metrics. Insert the variables appropriately in the formula to visualize the impact as the dynamic value changes.
You can specify different calculations for each value or a range of values.
The following is the formula to calculate the sales after discount.
|
sum(
"Sales"."Sales"
)-(sum(
"Sales"."Sales"
)/
100
)*
${Discount %}
*(1+${Sales Volume}/100
|
If you have different product categories, then use the following formula to calculate the Sales after discount for all products with different discounts.
|
Sum(
"Sales"."Sales"
)
-(sumif(
"Sales"."Product Category"
=
'Furniture'
,
"Sales"."Sales",
0
)/
100
*
${Furniture Discount %}
)
-(sumif(
"Sales"."Product Category
" =
'Stationery',
"Sales"."Sales",
0
)/
100
*
${Stationery discount %}
)
-(sumif(
"Sales"."Product Category"
= '
Grocery',
"Sales"."Sales",
0
)/
100
*
${Grocery Discount
%}))*(1+${Sales Volume}/100
)
|
Step 3: Creating Report
Create the What-if report using the Aggregate Formula in Step 2.
-
X-Axis
-
Date
with
Month & Year
-
Y-Axis
-
Sales
with
Sum
and
Sales After Discount
(Aggregate Formula with variable) with
Actual
Report will be created as shown below. Sales after Discount will be calculated with
a 10% discount
based on the Variable's default value.
Apply
Forecast for next one month to see the prediction for the upcoming month.
Now,
how do you dynamically change the input for the reports?
We
will see
how
it's to be done
in the
following
step.
Step 4:
Adding Variable as User Filter
Add the
discount
variables
we had defined in Step 1
as
User Filters
in the report.
Each User Filter will be in the form of a slider
and
will list
the
discount
values
in steps of 5. As you change the input
(discount percentage)
by moving each slider, the report will
get re-generated
dynamically
based on the appropriate calculations
defined in Step 2.
The final report will be as shown here. As you drag the What-If Variable sliders (the User Filters at the top), the total sales after discount will be calculated based on the values.
Now you have the privilege to know what might be the outcome of your sale
month.
And you are one step closer
to a discount campaign
run successfully!
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